September 2026 assessment

Occupations

Browse EOL’s 20-occupation pilot and open the full assessment for each occupation.

The pilot spans both knowledge work and physical work.

Occupations were selected to test the framework across different technologies, task structures, credentialing regimes, labor-supply pipelines, and stages of adoption. The pilot is analytical coverage, not a ranking of which jobs are most or least exposed.

10Knowledge / AI

10Physical / Robotics

Occupation index

Find an occupation

Each row shows EOL’s current working outlook alongside two separate evidence judgments. Evidence Tilt summarizes the direction of the current evidence. Historical Continuity asks whether established technological and staffing relationships remain reliable enough to anchor a central forecast.

Occupation	EOL 2030	EOL 2035	Evidence Tilt	Historical Continuity
O01SOC 15-1252 Software Developers Knowledge / AI	-2% to +3%	-16% to +2%	Strong toward displacement	Unlikely reliable as central assumption	→
O02SOC 13-2011 Accountants & Auditors Knowledge / AI	-1% to +3%	-7% to +3%	Moderate toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O03SOC 23-1011 Lawyers Knowledge / AI	-1% to +3%	-7% to +3%	Moderate toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O04SOC 43-4051 Customer Service Representatives Knowledge / AI	-5% to -2%	-12% to -5%	Strong toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O05SOC 41-3091 Sales Representatives of Services Knowledge / AI	-1% to +2%	-8% to +2%	Strong toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O06SOC 27-1024 Graphic Designers Knowledge / AI	-4% to 0%	-12% to -3%	Strong toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O07SOC 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers Knowledge / AI	-1% to +2%	-3% to +2%	Balanced	Reasonable	→
O08SOC 17-2141 Mechanical Engineers Knowledge / AI	+3% to +6%	+4% to +9%	Balanced	Reasonable	→
O09SOC 29-1215 Family Medicine Physicians Knowledge / AI	+1% to +4%	+2% to +6%	Balanced	Reasonable	→
O10SOC 43-6014 Secretaries & Administrative Assistants Knowledge / AI	-5% to -2%	-12% to -6%	Strong toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O11SOC 37-2012 Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners Physical / Robotics	-1% to +2%	-10% to 0%	Moderate toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O12SOC 53-7062 Freight/Stock/Material Movers, Hand Physical / Robotics	-4% to 0%	-13% to -3%	Strong toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O13SOC 53-7063 Machine Feeders and Offbearers Physical / Robotics	-7% to -3%	-16% to -11%	Strong toward displacement	Reasonable	→
O14SOC 53-3032 Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Physical / Robotics	-2% to +2%	-14% to -3%	Strong toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O15SOC 47-2061 Construction Laborers Physical / Robotics	+3% to +6%	+3% to +8%	Balanced	Reasonable	→
O16SOC 35-3031 Waiters & Waitresses Physical / Robotics	-2% to +1%	-8% to 0%	Moderate toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O17SOC 35-3023 Fast Food and Counter Workers Physical / Robotics	-1% to +3%	-12% to 0%	Strong toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O18SOC 29-1141 Registered Nurses Physical / Robotics	+3% to +6%	+4% to +9%	Balanced	Reasonable	→
O19SOC 31-1120 Home Health & Personal Care Aides Physical / Robotics	+6% to +11%	-5% to +10%	Moderate toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→
O20SOC 33-3051 Police & Sheriff’s Patrol Officers Physical / Robotics	0% to +3%	-3% to +3%	Moderate toward displacement	Increasingly questionable	→

O01 · SOC 15-1252 · Knowledge / AI

Evidence TiltStrong evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityUnlikely reliable as central assumption

O02 · SOC 13-2011 · Knowledge / AI

Accountants & Auditors

→

EOL 2030-1% to +3%

EOL 2035-7% to +3%

Evidence TiltModerate evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O03 · SOC 23-1011 · Knowledge / AI

Evidence TiltModerate evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O04 · SOC 43-4051 · Knowledge / AI

Customer Service Representatives

→

EOL 2030-5% to -2%

EOL 2035-12% to -5%

Evidence TiltStrong evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O05 · SOC 41-3091 · Knowledge / AI

Sales Representatives of Services

→

EOL 2030-1% to +2%

EOL 2035-8% to +2%

Evidence TiltStrong evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O06 · SOC 27-1024 · Knowledge / AI

Evidence TiltStrong evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O07 · SOC 25-2031 · Knowledge / AI

Secondary School Teachers

→

EOL 2030-1% to +2%

EOL 2035-3% to +2%

Evidence TiltBalanced evidence

Historical ContinuityReasonable

O08 · SOC 17-2141 · Knowledge / AI

Evidence TiltBalanced evidence

Historical ContinuityReasonable

O09 · SOC 29-1215 · Knowledge / AI

Family Medicine Physicians

→

EOL 2030+1% to +4%

EOL 2035+2% to +6%

Evidence TiltBalanced evidence

Historical ContinuityReasonable

O10 · SOC 43-6014 · Knowledge / AI

Secretaries & Administrative Assistants

→

EOL 2030-5% to -2%

EOL 2035-12% to -6%

Evidence TiltStrong evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O11 · SOC 37-2012 · Physical / Robotics

Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners

→

EOL 2030-1% to +2%

EOL 2035-10% to 0%

Evidence TiltModerate evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O12 · SOC 53-7062 · Physical / Robotics

Freight/Stock/Material Movers, Hand

→

EOL 2030-4% to 0%

EOL 2035-13% to -3%

Evidence TiltStrong evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O13 · SOC 53-7063 · Physical / Robotics

Machine Feeders and Offbearers

→

EOL 2030-7% to -3%

EOL 2035-16% to -11%

Evidence TiltStrong evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityReasonable

O14 · SOC 53-3032 · Physical / Robotics

Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

→

EOL 2030-2% to +2%

EOL 2035-14% to -3%

Evidence TiltStrong evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O15 · SOC 47-2061 · Physical / Robotics

Construction Laborers

→

EOL 2030+3% to +6%

EOL 2035+3% to +8%

Evidence TiltBalanced evidence

Historical ContinuityReasonable

O16 · SOC 35-3031 · Physical / Robotics

Evidence TiltModerate evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O17 · SOC 35-3023 · Physical / Robotics

Fast Food and Counter Workers

→

EOL 2030-1% to +3%

EOL 2035-12% to 0%

Evidence TiltStrong evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O18 · SOC 29-1141 · Physical / Robotics

Evidence TiltBalanced evidence

Historical ContinuityReasonable

O19 · SOC 31-1120 · Physical / Robotics

Home Health & Personal Care Aides

→

EOL 2030+6% to +11%

EOL 2035-5% to +10%

Evidence TiltModerate evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

O20 · SOC 33-3051 · Physical / Robotics

Police & Sheriff’s Patrol Officers

→

EOL 20300% to +3%

EOL 2035-3% to +3%

Evidence TiltModerate evidence tilt toward displacement

Historical ContinuityIncreasingly questionable

No occupations match the current filters.

Evidence Tilt is directional

It summarizes whether the current body of evidence pushes the assessment toward greater displacement or remains broadly balanced. It is not a probability or automation score. Methodology →

Historical Continuity tests the baseline

It asks whether the technological and labor relationships embedded in conventional historical projections still appear reliable enough to serve as a central forecast assumption. Methodology →