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Occupations

Construction Laborers

SOC 47-2061Assessment date September 20262025 employment 1.49M

Perform physical construction tasks at building, infrastructure, and other worksites using hand tools, power tools, and material-handling equipment.

Occupation description · O*NET
01

Bottom line

Construction robotics can produce large productivity gains in selected tasks, but construction laborers perform unusually varied physical work on changing, unstructured worksites. Strong construction demand and high Human Labor Dependency continue to support employment.

02

EOL Working Outlook

2030 working outlook
+3% to +6%
−10%0%+10%
2035 working outlook
+3% to +8%
−10%0%+10%
03

Forecast Landscape

EOL 2035 working range
+3% to +8%
BLS 2035 structural projection
+7.3%
Metaculus 2035 probabilistic forecast
+4.3%
External forecasts are reference points, not inputs mechanically averaged into EOL. Metaculus uses Construction Workers as a broader proxy.
Forecast ContextView detail ›
Employment / inflection

No aggregate inflection visible

Forecast rationale

EOL keeps the existing positive range. Automation should restrain growth somewhat, but current evidence does not show broad workflow-level substitution sufficient to overcome demand through 2035.

Demand / countervailing pressure

Infrastructure, power, data centers, manufacturing and housing create strong onsite labor demand.

Key mechanism

Task-specific robotics and prefabrication; compositional automation not yet broad.

04

Six-Stage Transition Assessment

Expanded analysis

Capability

Layout, drilling, surveying, material movement and other defined activities can be highly automated, while the full jobsite task bundle remains difficult.

Limited-to-Moderate occupation-wide; advanced for selected structured tasks
Moderate confidence
05

Evidence Synthesis

Evidence tilt
Balanced evidence

Directional summary of whether current evidence pushes EOL toward greater or lesser human labor demand relative to the occupation’s existing structural trajectory. It is categorical, not a probability, percentile, automation share, or mathematical adjustment.

Historical continuity
Reasonable

Construction automation remains concentrated in selected tasks while changing worksites and strong output demand keep the relationship between construction activity and onsite labor broadly intact.

06

Labor Supply

Pipeline
Open-entry / worksite-trained
Supply trend
Broad and relatively flexible
Replenishment burden
8.1% of employment annually
Demand-supply alignment
Broadly aligned with EOL’s continued demand growth
Supply implication for the forecast

Construction labor has a flexible entry pipeline and meaningful young-worker participation, while EOL expects continued demand growth through 2035. The national evidence does not point to an emerging labor surplus. Local shortages can remain significant, and narrow construction robotics is more likely to relieve labor constraints and raise productivity than to produce a broad drawdown in construction-labor demand.

How EOL analyzes labor supply →
07

What Would Change Our View?

Toward greater displacement
Multiple robots reliably operate across changing worksites.
Multiple robots reliably operate across changing worksites; crew sizes fall across project types; autonomous equipment and prefabrication materially reduce onsite labor-hours per unit of output.
Toward greater employment
Robotics remains narrow and task-specific.
Robotics remains narrow and task-specific; construction demand stays strong; labor shortages persist and productivity gains are used primarily to expand project capacity.
08

Sources and Assessment History

Current assessment
September 2026EOL occupation assessment
Structural reference
BLSEmployment Projections · SOC 47-2061
External calibration
MetaculusConstruction Workers · Broader proxy
Supply evidence
BLS / CPSOpenings, young-worker entry and occupational flows